200-Period MA Heatmap (Top 10 Altcoins)

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Description:

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Indicator Overview

The Top 10 Altcoin 200-Period MA Heatmap is a long-horizon trend and valuation framework designed to contextualise price action relative to its dominant moving average regime. Rather than focusing solely on absolute price, the indicator measures how extended or compressed an asset is versus its 200-period moving average, a level widely regarded as the market’s primary equilibrium anchor.

It measures the equal-weighted Top 10 Altcoin Index’s price deviation from its 200-period moving average (MA), expressed as a percentage. This index compiles the following top 10 utility-focused altcoins (as of December 2025):

  1. Ethereum (ETH)

  2. XRP (XRP)

  3. BNB (BNB)

  4. Solana (SOL)

  5. Cardano (ADA)

  6. Chainlink (LINK)

  7. TRON (TRX)

  8. Monero (XMR)

  9. Avalanche (AVAX)

  10. Litecoin (LTC)

The indicator computes a simple moving average using either the 200-day or 200-week interval and continuously evaluates the price-to-average ratio. This ratio is then translated into a colour-scaled heatmap overlaid directly onto price, creating an immediate visual representation of market temperature. Cool colours indicate periods of compression and structural undervaluation, while warm colours highlight extension, excess, and elevated trend risk. The result is a clean, time-continuous regime map that reveals where price sits within its broader cycle rather than reacting to short-term noise.

How To Use

The Altcoin 200-Period MA Heatmap is best used as a regime filter rather than a short-term timing tool. It excels at separating accumulation, trend expansion, and late-cycle risk phases with minimal ambiguity.

• Heatmap Interpretation: Blue and green zones indicate price trading near or below its 200-period average, historically associated with compression, mean reversion, and long-term opportunity. Yellow through red zones reflect increasing extension, where upside becomes asymmetric and downside risk rises.

• Trend Validation: Sustained price action above the 200-day or 200-week average confirms structural bullish conditions. Repeated failure to reclaim the average signals regime weakness rather than a simple pullback.

• Timeframe Selection: Switching between the 200-day and 200-week settings fundamentally changes the lens. The 200-day average captures intermediate cycle structure and trend health, while the 200-week average isolates multi-year market floors, secular trend transitions, and generational accumulation zones.


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