Altcoins 30-Day vs. 365-Day MA Cloud

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Description:

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Indicator Overview

The 30d MA vs 365d MA Cloud indicator visualises long-term trend dynamics by contrasting the 30-day and 365-day simple moving averages, presenting their relationship as a colour-coded cloud overlay. By assessing the relative position of the faster-moving 30-day average against the slower 365-day baseline, it creates a clean visual framework for identifying sustained bullish or bearish market regimes. It is my go-to bull/bear market threshold indicator.

Dual-Ticker Comparison Logic

The ‘Crypto’ fields allow the indicator to operate in both absolute price and relative performance modes, making it suitable for outright positioning or pair-based allocation decisions.

  • Single Crypto Analysis: If Crypto 2 is left blank, the indicator measures Crypto 1 against US Dollars. This mode is designed to identify statistically stretched rallies, deep mean-reversion zones, and long-term accumulation conditions where price trades multiple standard deviations below its historical average.

  • Relative Strength and Ratios: When both fields are populated, the indicator automatically constructs a ratio of Crypto 1 divided by Crypto 2, such as ETH/BTC or SUI/SOL. The metric is then calculated on the ratio itself, isolating relative performance and stripping out broad market beta. This enables precise identification of overperformance, underperformance, and regime shifts between assets.

    How To Use

    A green cloud forms when the 30-day SMA exceeds the 365-day SMA, signalling a bullish regime, historically associated with uptrends, ideal for entering or holding long positions. A red cloud appears when the 30-day SMA falls below, indicating bearish conditions, suggesting caution or shorting opportunities. The cloud’s fading opacity enhances visibility of trend strength. Traders can buy on green cloud formations and sell or hedge on red, while investors may accumulate during bullish green phases and reduce exposure in bearish red periods, aligning with cyclical trend shifts for strategic positioning.

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