Indicator Overview

The Bitcoin Ω-Score is a high-fidelity composite model designed to map the structural intensity of Bitcoin’s market cycles. It aggregates 10 distinct data components spanning on-chain metrics, technical analysis (TA), and macro-cycle oscillators into a single, normalised 0-100% risk & intensity score.

Rather than relying on a single data point, the Ω-Score also utilises a 4-year rolling Z-score normalisation to calibrate itself against the market's evolving volatility. This allows the indicator to identify cycle exhaustion and generational value zones with extreme precision, regardless of how much the market has matured over time. The result is a smooth, rainbow-coded visual that transitions from deep seller exhaustion (Blue/Cold) to terminal speculative overheating (Red/Hot).

How To Use

The Ω-Score serves as a definitive roadmap for long-term positioning and cycle-timing, allowing participants to ignore the noise of daily volatility in favour of structural trend analysis.

• The 0–20% Zone (Structural Value): When the Ω-Score enters the Blue and Cyan bands, it signals that the composite of on-chain and technical factors has reached a state of deep exhaustion. Historically, these levels represent the maximum opportunity phase, where seller distress is at its peak and the market is fundamentally undervalued.

• The 50% Neutral Line: This serves as the fair value pivot. Trading consistently above this level indicates a transition into a bull-market regime, while staying below it suggests a prolonged period of accumulation or bearish dominance.

• The 80–100% Zone (Terminal Risk): As the indicator pushes into the bright Orange and Red bands, it signals that multiple layers of the market, from retail profit-taking to technical overextension, are reaching terminal limits. A reading above 90% suggests the market is in a high-probability exhaustion zone, where macro tops are traditionally formed.