Indicator Overview

The Bitcoin Regime Divider is a macro-structural tool designed to identify the primary market trend by filtering daily price action through a yearly lens. By establishing the one-year moving average as a line of demarcation, the indicator distinguishes between long-term bullish expansion and bearish accumulation phases.

It also colour-codes daily price movements based on their position relative to the yearly mean. This allows traders to instantly gauge market sentiment and heat without losing sight of the underlying macro trend, effectively separating the signal of the yearly average from the noise of daily volatility.

How To Use

Traders can use the Regime Divider to stay on the right side of the macro trend and identify high-probability zones for accumulation or profit-taking.

• The Regime Meridian: The 1px white line represents the yearly moving average. Price sustained above this line suggests a Bull Market Regime, while price sustained below it indicates a Bear Market Regime. This serves as the anchor for the entire Bitcoin cycle.

• Weekly Confluence: The Extra SMA toggle allows for the overlay of the 100-week and 200-week moving averages. These serve as secondary confirmation levels for cycle bottoms and major trend support, providing a multi-timeframe perspective on market structure.

• Mean Reversion: Historically, Bitcoin price acts as if tethered to the 365-day MA. Extreme extensions in either direction (deep red or deep green) often precede a snap back toward the white meridian line as the market seeks equilibrium.